
Article by Kyle Boulden
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If you’ve been paying any attention to the U.S. presidential race recently, it would be nearly impossible to miss the debate over taxation and tax reform. Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan have decided to make the economy the main focus of their campaign, and fiscal policy lies at the heart.
It is generally agreed upon that the American economy is not in good shape. Unemployment is high, budget deficits are the norm and income inequality is rising. This election the Republicans have chosen to focus on the economy, as traditionally it’s the incumbent who takes the blame for the country’s woes. They feel their experience in that field puts them at an advantage, but a closer look at this common narrative show it to be plainly false.
Tax policy is a complicated subject, but what it comes down to is that the Republicans feel they can improve the economy and create jobs by cutting taxes, particularly to corporations and the rich, and that the benefits will ‘trickle-down’ to the rest of the economy. The catch in all this is that these are exactly the policies that have been implemented in the past decade and have failed.
At first glance, the claim that Republicans want to cut taxes to the rich and to corporations might come across as partisan rhetoric. That’s certainly how it’s portrayed in many circles. Oh sure, the Republicans are bad guys who only want to help the rich and hurt the poor. However, when you strip away the veneer of speeches and spin, underneath it their actual policy platform lays it out quite plainly. It’s a matter of understanding what you are looking at.
The best place to begin is by looking at the Bush-era tax cuts, which have been a lightning-rod for debate on tax policy. Typically they refer to the 2001 legislation that lowered income taxes across all brackets, and the 2003 legislation that saw a significant cut in the top tax rates on capital gains and dividends. The Republican platform endorses making the cuts permanent, while the Democratic Party would see these cuts, originally created to be temporary, expire in favour of new policy focusing tax relief on the lower and middle incomes.
The thing is, this isn’t a debate between two potential solutions to economic crisis. It’s one plan that may help the situation versus another that has been proven wrong in a wide variety of research. What the Mitt Romney/Republican platform suggests is based on widely disproved economic theories. As former secretary of labor under President Bill Clinton Robert Reich explains: “Bush promised the tax cuts would more than pay for themselves in terms of their alleged positive impact on the economy. The record shows they didn’t. Job growth after the Bush tax cuts was a fraction of the growth under Bill Clinton – even before the economy crashed in late 2008. And the median wage dropped, adjusted for inflation.”
There is a certain cognitive dissonance when it comes to Republicans and the economy (one that is also shared by many in the Democratic Party as well). They seem quite willing to ignore decades of evidence that proves their economic theories don’t work in order to keep up their belief that taxation is bad. Recently the independent Tax Policy Center examined Mitt Romney’s campaign proposals, which includes significant reductions to taxes on income, capital gains and dividends, as well as the elimination of the estate tax. They determined that “(the plan) Governor Romney has outlined would reduce taxes for high-income households, thus requiring higher taxes on other, even if the plan’s financing is as progressive as possible, given the available tax expenditures.”
In other words, these proposed changes to the tax system would disproportionately favour the rich, and in fact would be mathematically impossible to cover in the ‘revenue neutral’ way Romney proposes without transferring additional cost to middle and lower-income people. Under Romney’s plan, the estimate is that the 99 to 99.9 percent gain an average percent change in after-tax income of 3.5 percent, and the top 0.1 percent gain 4.4 percent, while everyone loses 1.1 percent.
Now the question is: why would anyone other than the richest 1% of people vote for such a plan? What it comes down to is a lack of information. Whether it is a population more interested in pop culture than politics, or the American education system’s disturbing suppression of critical thinking skills, voters aren’t making decisions in their own best interest. In fact, a recent poll by the Pew Research Center showed that only 58% of Americans think the rich pay too little in taxes, and that 20% in fact think the poor pay too little. Compare this to 20 years ago, when 77% of people thought the rich paid too little in taxes and only 8% thought the poor paid too little. As writer Andrew Leonard explains: “income inequality has grown, tax rates for the rich have fallen to historically low levels, and the wealthiest Americans have grabbed an ever larger piece of the pie. Does that sound like a recipe for class warfare? Nope! The numbers actually signal the opposite conclusion.”
Stating that Mitt Romney and the Republican Party want to cut taxes to the rich and corporations at the expense of the poor is not some partisan rhetoric, it’s a simple fact. The extension of the Bush tax cuts and the other proposed changes to the United States’ fiscal policies are plainly designed for that, with little regard as to hiding it from the voting public. It will not help the economy, will not create jobs and will worsen income inequality. Yet in the American political discourse these are still considered legitimate strategies. The solution here is knowledge and education. People need to know and understand the issues, and understand the logical connection between their political choices and their own well-being.
comments rss3 thoughts "are you voting for this guy?"
Posted by Matt on October 4, 2012 at 8:00 pm
Great article, however I think your analysis misses the real reason for the GOP’s insistence on selling tax cuts (It’s easy, and it sets up a future debate which they are willing to have) The GOP’s real goal in cutting taxes is to continue to make government a smaller and smaller part of American life which essentially will transform the country into a winner take all country. They have no illusions that by cutting taxes it will create more jobs/raise more revenue or at a minimum be revenue neutral.
Elite republicans party thinkers know that in making the arguement to cut taxes, it is arguable that this does create jobs. In reality, whether or not a job is created is likely correlated with many other things other then taxes. (1980, taxes were cut -jobs went up, 1990′s taxes were increased – jobs went up). This is why they can and have successfully convinced middle america that cutting taxes can create jobs. In reality however, whether or not jobs are created is not the designed goal of tax cuts. The goal is to “starve the beast”, republicans know that by cutting taxes and then signing pledges never to raise them, they are depriving the government of revenue. Once the government is deprived of revenue, the republicans can raise a stink about how entitlements are bankrupting the nation (“The problem is not revenue, it’s spending), they can effectively argue that keeping costs at the same level while having less revenue will cause endless deficits. In situations such as these, responsible democratic politicians are forced to cut programs , entitlements, etc, or risk being accused of supporting unsustainable big government. Their only solution is to either cut government, which naturally hurts the poor, or try selling the public on increasing taxes. Which side do you think is easier to defend?
Posted by Kevin from TX on October 27, 2012 at 4:09 pm
The problem with modern Liberals, to borrow Ronald Reagan’s quip, “is that they know so much that isn’t so”.
Lowering tax rates and simplifying the byzantine tax code works every time it is tried. It worked under Coolidge in the 1920′s, under Kennedy in the 1960′s, under Reagan in the 80′s, under Clinton in the 90′s, and under Bush ’43 in the last decade. Yes, that’s right:
- Bush’s tax cuts did work, as evidenced by the growth in tax revenues from $1.9 trillion in 2000 to $2.7 trillion in 2007.
- Clinton raised the marginal income tax rate (knee-capping the recovery in 1994 and costing Dems control of Congress), but he slashed the capital gains and dividends rates which more than doubled tax revenues from those sources.
Robert Reich seems not to understand the “miracle” of the Clinton Administration. Lowered tax rates on investment, a restrained regulatory environment, modest spending growth and balanced budgets – combined with a technology shift that spurred an investment bubble – all worked to create millions of jobs, an unprecedented number of millionaires, and higher incomes. Obama’s plans includes NOT ONE of these elements. Tax rate hikes on dividends and capital gains are driving investment dollars into tax-free instruments. Regulations are strangling virtually every industry in America other than government. Spending has exploded at all levels – we’ve just wrung up our 4th consecutive trillion dollar deficit. And, if reelected, Obama will crush the technology revolution happening in oil and gas production.
Voting for “this guy” (Romney) is the only chance we have…
Posted by Kevin from TX on October 27, 2012 at 4:21 pm
Meant to add: Canada is experiencing a relative economic boom of its own using these same elements:
- oil and gas boom with tar sands and fracking
- restraint in regulation and discretionary spending
- slashed the corporate tax rate to 15% (vs. USA’s rate of 35%)
The Canadian welfare state is still too generous and the worldwide economic slump is having an impact, but at least your journalists can complain about a “real” unemployment rate of 10% vs. over 15% here in America!